Fall of Syria's Assad: A Major Setback for Iran and Russia, Strategic Victory for Turkey
after 24 years in power, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad fled the country and sought refuge in Russia. Following 13 years of civil war, Assad's regime collapsed after 12 days of intense fighting, marking one of the most brutal reigns in modern history. The war resulted in over 350,000 deaths and displaced more than 13 million people.
The prolonged conflict in Syria involved major powers such as Iran, Russia, Turkey, and the United States. Assad’s downfall, which has shaken the Syria-Iran-Russia alliance, will not only reshape the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East but also shift the balance of power in the region.
Loss for Iran and Russia
For years, Iran has been Syria’s key ally, particularly in maintaining its Shiite corridor through which it supplied weapons to Hezbollah. With Assad’s fall, Iran's influence in the region will diminish, particularly in its role in the Palestine-Israel conflict. Similarly, Russia, having lost its sole Arab ally, will be politically and militarily weakened in the region.
Turkey's Gain and Israel’s Concerns
Turkey, which has been actively involved in the Syrian conflict for years, has emerged strategically stronger following this development. The fall of Assad weakens the positions of Iran and Russia, giving Turkey the opportunity to create a new strategic corridor in Syria. However, Israel is concerned about the new political shift, fearing that the emerging Syrian government may offer more support to Palestinians, potentially threatening Israel’s security.
The full impact of this change will take time to unfold, but the shifting power dynamics and the potential for changes in political strategies across the Middle East remain highly significant.